Probability and Stochastic Analysis Seminar  RSS

Franco Severo 14/01/2026, 16:00 — 17:00 — Online
, Laboratoire de Probabilités et Modèles Aléatoires, Paris

Cutsets, percolation and random walks

Which graphs $G$ admit a percolating phase (i.e. $p_c(G)\lt 1$)? This seemingly simple question is one of the most fundamental ones in percolation theory. A famous argument of Peierls implies that if the number of minimal cutsets of size $n$ from a vertex to infinity in the graph grows at most exponentially in $n$, then $p_c(G)\lt 1$. Our first theorem establishes the converse of this statement. This implies, for instance, that if a (uniformly) percolating phase exists, then a strongly percolating one also does. In a second theorem, we show that if the simple random walk on the graph is uniformly transient, then the number of minimal cutsets is bounded exponentially (and in particular $p_c\lt 1$). Both proofs rely on a probabilistic method that uses a random set to generate a random minimal cutset whose probability of taking any given value is lower bounded exponentially on its size. Joint work with Philip Easo and Vincent Tassion.


Except for a few of the oldest sessions these are from the Seminário de Probabilidade e Mecânica Estatística at IMPA which is co-sponsored by several institutions, in particular Instituto Superior Técnico.